Oil production in the U.S. Permian Basin is expected to total 5.4 million barrels per day (MMbbl/d) in 2023, driven by nearly 41,000 new wells and $308 billion in upstream spending between 2018 and 2023, analytics and data provider IHS Markit said on June 13.
The forecast is based on an assumption of an oil price environment of around $60 per barrel or higher, the company said in a release.
The Permian Basin, located in Texas and New Mexico, is the biggest oil patch in the U.S.
“In the past 24 months, production from just this one region—the Permian—has grown far more than any other entire country in world,” Daniel Yergin, vice chairman of IHS Markit said in the release.
“Add an additional 3 [million barrels per day] by 2023—more than the total present-day production of Kuwait—and you have a level of production that exceeds the current production of every OPEC nation except for Saudi Arabia.”
The output from the Permian was projected to climb 78,000 bbl/d to a fresh record of 3.28 MMbbl/d in June, the EIA said in its monthly drilling productivity report last month.
Production of both natural gas and NGL in the Permian are expected to double during this period, reaching 15 billion cubic feet per day and 1.7 MMbbl/d, respectively, IHS Markit said.
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